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Wall Street surge brings relief to battered equity markets

Published 27/12/2018, 07:48
© Reuters. A passerby walks past an electronic boards Japan's Nikkei average, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and foreign exchange rates outside a brokerage in Tokyo

By Daniel Leussink

TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian shares on Thursday rode a dramatic surge on Wall Street as markets, battered by a recent drum roll of deepening political and economic gloom, cheered upbeat U.S. data and the Trump administration's effort to shore up investor confidence.

In a buying frenzy as spectacular as the recent rout, U.S. stocks soared with the Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJIA> rocketing more than 1,000 points for the first time on Wednesday.

That helped push MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) up 0.6 percent and away from eight-week lows.

European shares are set to open higher as markets reopen after the Christmas break, with early indications from London's FTSE (FTSE) and Frankfurt's DAX (DAX) pointing to gains of 0.6 to 0.7 percent.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 (ESc1) were last down 0.5 percent.

Japan's Nikkei (N225) managed to pull out of bear market territory it had entered on Tuesday, closing 3.9 percent higher, while Australian shares (AXJO) jumped 1.9 percent.

Chinese shares did not join Asia's rebound. The blue-chip index (CSI300) was down 0.4 percent, as was Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (HSI).

There was no single trigger for the overnight relief rally on Wall Street, though a Mastercard (NYSE:MA) Inc report that sales during the U.S. holiday shopping season rose the most in six years in 2018 helped allay concerns about the health of the U.S. economy.

There were also some attempts by the White House to temper its broadside against the Federal Reserve. Kevin Hassett, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said on Wednesday that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's job was not in jeopardy.

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His comments came days after President Donald Trump described the Fed as the "only problem" in the U.S. economy after the central bank last week raised rates for the fourth time this year, and retained plans for more hikes in 2019.

A U.S. government shutdown, concerns over slower global growth and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin convening a crisis group following the sharp sell-off in equities have also rattled investors.

"There is a question which is starting to unfold, whether this is a bear market rally or whether this is something more sustainable," said Chris Weston, Melbourne-based head of research at foreign exchange brokerage Pepperstone.

"We probably got another 3 to 5 percent in these market rallies before we see people looking to fade into this."

Faced with deepening gloom, investors were quick to lap up media reports that a U.S. trade team will travel to Beijing the week of Jan. 7 to hold talks with Chinese officials.

"I think worries regarding the U.S. government shutdown as well as lack of clarity over whether the U.S.-Sino negotiations (over trade) will go well or not still remain," said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Securities.

Reuters reported on Thursday that the Trump administration is considering an executive order in the new year to declare a national emergency that would bar U.S. companies from using Huawei [HWT.UL] and ZTE (SZ:000063) products.

Not all signs were positive overnight, with the Fed's Bank of Richmond's manufacturing index giving investors a reminder of the underlying global risks. The index fell the most on record, Refinitiv data going back to 1994 showed.[USRFDM=ECI]

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The weak figures rekindled fears that Sino-U.S. trade tensions are weighing on U.S. producers, and came days before the release of the Chicago purchasing managers index at the end of the week.

OIL IN THE SPOTLIGHT

Oil also caught investors' attention after U.S. crude (CLc1) and Brent (LCOc1) overnight both marked their largest single-day rises since late November 2016.

U.S. crude on Wednesday rallied almost 8.7 percent, while Brent jumped more than 8.8 percent in a partial rebound from steep losses that pushed crude benchmarks to lows not seen since last year. [O/R]

U.S. crude was last trading 0.4 percent lower at $46.06 a barrel, while Brent gave up 0.3 percent at $54.30 a barrel.

"If we can see oil prices moving up in the low end of the range, which is around $49 to $50, then we'll continue to see equities moving higher," said Pepperstone's Weston.

As investors moved back into riskier assets overnight, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields

The dollar gave up some of its overnight gains, but the losses were limited.

Against the yen, a perceived safe haven, the dollar was last off 0.3 percent at 111.08 yen

The greenback was also on the back foot against the euro (EUR=) and the British pound

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Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was down 0.2 percent at 96.826 (DXY).

In commodity markets, gold remained below a six-month peak hit during the previous session. Spot gold

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