Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...

Yesterday’s first-quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. In reaction, stocks fell and US Treasury yields rose....

The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...

GDP and PCE inflation data disappointed yesterday. This data raises the question: will it be possible to beat inflation without triggering a recession? Meanwhile, the US dollar has corrected, with...

US 10-Year moved sharply higher on surprise GDP report. What's next? Original Post

The airline industry is gearing up for what could be a record-breaking summer travel season, if forecasts turn out to be correct. Despite challenges such as the Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX 9 grounding...

Here is a trillion (dollar) reasons why the US economy is likely to hold up until elections: between now and then, Yellen is likely to drain the Treasury General Account (TGA) and unleash a wave of...

CHANGE: US markets are supersized and dominate global stocks, bonds, and currencies. This makes any changes to their underlying market ‘plumbing’ disproportionately important. On May 28th...

The bulls were slightly on the back foot yesterday as the drop from 8120 gained some momentum and Meta drove the bears into a bit of a frenzy. More tech earnings this evening as well with concern that...

Stocks finished flattish on the day, but we are moving into the busiest part of the week. Now that Meta’s results are out of the way, we will have GDP and PCE to finish the week off, along with...

To be successful, active investors have to watch (and create) indicators that the mainstream media do not follow.Trading is hard, requiring discipline and a strict set of rules. Today, we look at a...

Most NFL general managers (GMs) are optimistic and displaying overconfidence today as they prepare for tomorrow’s NFL draft. The draft is a once-a-year opportunity for GMs to acquire talent.Like...

The average 12-month trailing yield for the major asset classes has ticked up so far this year, based on a set of proxy ETFs through yesterday’s close (Apr. 23) vs. early...

The bad news is that the contraction in the money supply appears to be over. That’s not bad news per se (see below), but it’s bad in that the anti-inflationary work that was happening is...