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RBC lowers Beach Energy shares target but maintains bullish on Waitsia project update

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/04/2024, 12:40

On Monday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on Beach Energy (OTC:BCHEY) Ltd (BPT:AU) (OTC: BEPTF (OTC:BEPTF)) shares, lowering its price target from AUD1.95 to AUD1.80. Despite the downward revision, the firm maintained its Outperform rating on the stock. The revision follows Beach Energy's announcement of a delay and cost increase for the Waitsia Stage 2 project.

The company recently indicated that the Waitsia Stage 2 project would be delayed by over six months, with a midpoint net cost increase of 32%. Market observers have characterized this update as disappointing. However, RBC Capital Markets suggests that the risks associated with further quality or execution issues are accounted for in the new guidance, as pre-commissioning work is still in progress.

RBC Capital Markets sees the current situation as a potential buying opportunity for investors. The firm's stance is based on the belief that the project is nearing completion, and thus, the recent setbacks have been sufficiently factored into Beach Energy's planning.

Beach Energy's attractiveness as an investment is further supported by RBC Capital Markets' forecast valuation multiples for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026. The firm's analysis indicates that Beach Energy stands favorably when compared to its peers in the Australian energy sector, considering metrics such as price-to-earnings, free cash flow per share yield, enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and exploration expenses (EV/EBITDAX), and enterprise value to debt-adjusted cash flow (EV/DACF).

InvestingPro Insights

Complementing the analysis by RBC Capital Markets, current data from InvestingPro provides a more nuanced view of Beach Energy Ltd (BEPTF). With a market capitalization of $2.4 billion, Beach Energy exhibits a strong financial presence in the industry. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is highlighted by its track record of maintaining dividend payments for 23 consecutive years, an important consideration for income-focused investors.

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While Beach Energy faces challenges, as indicated by its negative profitability over the last twelve months, analysts predict a turnaround with the company expected to be profitable this year. This forecast aligns with the company's robust price performance, marked by a 25% return over the last six months. Additionally, the company's stock is currently trading at a high EBITDA valuation multiple, which may suggest growth expectations are factored into its price.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed for Beach Energy at https://www.investing.com/pro/BEPTF. To enhance your investing strategy with these insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and discover the full spectrum of data and expert commentary that InvestingPro has to offer.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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