Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolio

UK set for weak growth and highest inflation in G7, OECD says

Published 02/05/2024, 08:25
Updated 02/05/2024, 10:20
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A tourist shelters from the rain under an Union Jack umbrella near the Bank of England in the City of London financial district in London, Britain, February 13, 2024. REUTERS/Isabel Infantes/File Photo

By Andy Bruce

LONDON (Reuters) -Britain will suffer some of the lowest rates of economic growth and highest inflation among Group of Seven countries this year and next, forecasts from the Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development suggested on Thursday.

The OECD cut this year's growth forecast for the British economy to 0.4% from the 0.7% it predicted in February. Only Germany is expected to perform worse among G7 advanced economies, which also include Canada, France, Italy, Japan and the United States.

UK growth in 2025 is expected to recover to just 1.0%, compared with the OECD's previous forecast of 1.2%, putting Britain at the bottom of the G7.

The OECD forecasts showed Britain's annual rate of consumer price growth was likely to be the highest among G7 countries, both this year and next.

The forecasts are awkward for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, whose Conservative Party is lagging behind the opposition Labour Party in opinion polls ahead of a national election likely later this year.

Sunak has told voters it would be unwise to ditch his party just as his economic plan is starting to work.

"This forecast is not particularly surprising given our priority for the last year has been to tackle inflation with higher interest rates," finance minister Jeremy Hunt said in response to the OECD forecast. He pointed to more optimistic forecasts from the International Monetary Fund.

In April, the IMF similarly predicted Britain would generate the second-slowest growth among G7 countries in 2024, but it forecast faster growth in 2025 than for France, Germany, Italy and Japan.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"Robust real wage growth will support activity in the first half of 2024," the OECD's report for Britain said.

"However, sticky services price inflation and fiscal drag will continue to weigh on consumers' purchasing power, soft external demand will constrain trade growth, and policy uncertainty will impede business investment."

The opposition Labour Party said the OECD's downgrade reflected 14 years of failure under the Conservatives.

The OECD said it should be a priority for Britain's government to rebuild its fiscal buffers, adding this necessitated "credible" budget plans.

Economists have warned that the public spending assumptions underpinning the government's budget published in March are unrealistic.

Latest comments

fjjfjfjf
Take with pinch of salt
That's what they said at the beginning of last year and it turned out wrong. Their track record is appalling. I'd fire the lot and use better models
The OECD is stuffed full of Political Cronies of European Leaders. One example is Spanish Ex Education Minister Vert & his Wife who wangled their way in there via Ex Spanish President Mariano Rajoy.
The OECD's forecasts provide a benchmark, but they should be considered alongside other forecasts and economic data as their economic forecasts are inherently imprecise, as unforeseen events can significantly impact outcomes.
What an absolute waste of News. You really don’t know what’s actually going to happen at all.
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.