Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

ECB's Centeno urges policymakers not to rush into 'pro-cyclical' measures

Published 01/09/2022, 12:53
Updated 01/09/2022, 13:50
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The European Central Bank (ECB) logo in Frankfurt, Germany, January 23, 2020. REUTERS/Ralph Orlowski

By Sergio Goncalves

LISBON (Reuters) -European policymakers should avoid taking rushed pro-cyclical measures in response to high inflation, which is expected to slow down over time and converge with European Central Bank targets, ECB Governing Council member Mario Centeno said on Thursday.

Pro-cyclical policies tend to reinforce the existing conditions facing an economy be it economic growth or recession.

"We should be worried and act - as consumers and policymakers - about the inflation numbers we've seen. But we also have to remember the need to think longer-term in these processes...and we should be guided by patience."

"Pro-cyclical policies are all we should avoid", he said, adding there is a need for greater coordination of national policies, but also at the European level.

Governments usually increase spending and lower taxes during a recession, which many fear is looming now due to high inflation. But central banks are currently raising interest rates to combat high inflation, action that can magnify economic downturns.

With euro zone inflation at record levels, policymakers are concerned that even long-term inflation expectations may move above the ECB's 2% target.

Still, Centeno said that "the forecast of all institutions, including the Bank of Portugal, is that inflation will decelerate and will gradually return - probably more gradually than we wanted - to levels consistent with the ECB's objectives."

Official data published on Wednesday showed that inflation in the 19 countries sharing the euro currency accelerated to 9.1% in August year-on-year from 8.9% a month earlier.

The ECB is expected to face a choice at its policy-setting meeting next week between a rate rise of around 50 and 75 basis points. The ECB raised rates by 50 basis points to zero percent in July.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.