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UK unemployment rate falls to 3.8% in December

Published 13/02/2024, 07:19
UK unemployment rate falls to 3.8% in December

Proactive Investors - December’s UK unemployment data came in lower than expected at 3.8% compared to 4% predictions.

That’s 40 basis points lower than November figures, potentially feeding into a higher-for-longer rates narrative.

Meanwhile, the number of employed individuals rose by 72,000 to 33.17 million, as full-time employees increased, largely recovering from a slump observed throughout 2023.

UK weekly wages saw a modest year-on-year increase of 5.8% to £669, marking the slowest growth in 17 months yet edging past predictions by a narrow margin.

The rise, albeit minimal, surpassed the anticipated 5.6% hike.

Both the public and private sectors witnessed a deceleration in wage growth, dipping to 5.8% and 5.9% respectively from a previous 6.7%.

Excluding bonuses, regular pay climbed to £626, experiencing its weakest expansion in 14 months at 6.2%, still slightly ahead of the 6% forecasted.

The hospitality and retail sector led with the highest annual growth rate at 7.2%, closely followed by manufacturing and finance at 6.9% and 6.7% respectively.

When adjusted for inflation, real wage growth for total pay including bonuses cooled off to 1.4%, while regular pay saw a more significant real term increase to 1.8%.

Read more on Proactive Investors UK

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While ONS admits their collection of unemployment data is unreliable and instead use imputed figures. In the mean time universal credit claims keep rising.
Looks really realistic for a country said to have been in recession in Q4. Viewing the unemployment rate chart since Nov 2020 shows there hasn't been anywhere near a giant leap like this in that period. I'll wait for the revision.
Say the country wasn't in recession, yet growth was flat to zero, and with great employment data. Where's the scope for growth there then bearing that in mind. Greater employment will hold up inflation and interest rates, stagflation locked in.
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