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UK borrowing exceeds forecasts, debt highest since 1960

Published 21/10/2020, 07:25
Updated 21/10/2020, 08:35
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO:  Outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in London

By David Milliken and Andy Bruce

LONDON (Reuters) - Britain's government borrowing in the first half of the financial year was more than six times higher than before the COVID pandemic, official figures showed on Wednesday, taking public debt to its highest since 1960.

Public borrowing in September alone totalled 36.101 billion pounds, above all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists, although August's figure was revised down by more than 5 billion pounds to 30.113 billion pounds.

The increased borrowing took total public debt further above the 2 trillion pound mark to 2.060 trillion pounds or 103.5% of GDP, its highest on this measure since 1960, the Office for National Statistics said.

Driven by a surge in coronavirus-related spending and a fall in tax revenue after the biggest economic hit since at least the 1920s, borrowing from April to September totalled 208.5 billion pounds, over six times more than for the same time in 2019.

Britain's Office for Budget Responsibility predicted in August that borrowing would reach a record 372 billion pounds by the end of this financial year, equivalent to 18.9% of gross domestic product, the most since World War Two.

Borrowing to date is below what the OBR pencilled in for this point in the tax year, though the ONS data does not yet include the cost of defaults on government-backed COVID loans which the OBR has factored in.

Spending risks rising again in the second half of the financial year as lockdown restrictions return to much of the United Kingdom, pressuring the government to offer extra support to closed businesses and their workers.

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"The OBR's forecast for public borrowing of 372 billion still looks about right," said Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Ratings agency Moody's downgraded Britain's sovereign credit rating on Friday to the same level as Belgium's and the Czech Republic's, warning that Britain "effectively has no fiscal anchor".

But financial markets have shrugged off rising borrowing, and 10-year government borrowing costs of around 0.2% are only slightly above an all-time low struck at the start of the pandemic.

Economists polled by Reuters expect the Bank of England to launch a further 100 billion pounds of bond purchases next month, adding to the 300 billion pounds announced since March.

Britain's government had aimed to set out a three-year plan for public spending next month, but said on Wednesday this would only cover one year due to COVID uncertainty, with exceptions for schools, healthcare and some infrastructure.

Finance minister Rishi Sunak said after the data his "enduring priority" would be to protect jobs during the crisis.

"Over time and as the economy recovers, the government will take the necessary steps to ensure the long-term health of the public finances," he said.

Separately, the Office for National Statistics said annual consumer price inflation in September rose to 0.5% in September from 0.2% in August, when it had been reduced by a temporary scheme to promote dining in restaurants.

Latest comments

it's difficult time and going for heavy borrowing should be spent wisely
Rigjtly said in headlines since 1960 - only after 1960 UK could join the EEA (EU) in 1961 UK economy started to pick up - brexiteers you are all ignorant for you do not know the magnitute in which your country is heading without the EU then insult EU that picked up your economy from downwards trend
Seems almost all government are borrowing massively. The question is who are they borrowing from and why can't the government just print more money instead 😂🤔
Pension funds, insurers and banks mainly but as so much was issued in a short space of time the central banks are running programs to buy it, in order to sell in in a year or so when demand is higher. Not quite printing money but smooths out issuance.
The banking system is coming to an end. It's now obsolete in a digital world. Central banks will propose a central bank issued digital currency to be used globally. The central banks will eat up the smaller banks and everyone will have an account with their central bank or a subsidiary to it. 6-8 years there will be no more cash. Gold and Bitcoin are alternatives to this system but it will happen.
what has happen to the promising brexit plans
Brexit has nothing to do with spending. This borrowing figure is also before the latest GDP number so don't get too excited about the headline.
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