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Deutsche Bank bullish on Meta stock but cuts price target amid new AI investment cycle

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 25/04/2024, 11:04
© Reuters.

On Thursday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) adjusted its outlook on Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:META) stock, reducing the price target to $500 from the previous $540, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows Meta's announcement of entering a significant investment cycle, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), which is anticipated to increase capital expenditures substantially for an extended period.

The bank's analysis suggests that although Meta's stock experienced a more than 15% decline in after-hours trading, the company's history of investment cycles has traditionally benefited its long-term equity value. This cycle is characterized by larger AI investments than previously forecasted, leading to a roughly 10% reduction in free cash flow estimates for FY25.

Meta is currently expanding its services beyond its traditional advertising model, unlike past transitions that followed industry trends and temporarily cannibalized more profitable segments.

The company's Family of Apps (FoA) business remains robust, with AI-driven engagement growth and enhanced ad platform performance. Deutsche Bank highlights Meta's position as the fastest-growing ad platform at scale, entering the AI space from a position of strength.

Critics may argue that Meta is overextending by investing in both Reality Labs (RL) and AI. Nevertheless, the company has pointed out synergies between RL and other segments, with AI integration in new hardware such as Ray Ban Sunglasses serving as a recent example. Deutsche Bank emphasizes Meta's disciplined spending history and the potential for high returns on these investments.

With Meta's stock valuation appearing more reasonable following the recent pullback, and considering the company's strong track record of shareholder returns and a competitive advertising platform, Deutsche Bank advises viewing Meta's increasing AI investments as a positive move for the company's future.

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InvestingPro Insights

As Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) embarks on a significant investment cycle in artificial intelligence, the company's financial health and market performance offer valuable insights. According to InvestingPro data, Meta holds a substantial market cap of 1250.0 billion USD, and its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at a relatively high 32.46, with an adjusted P/E ratio of 29.8 for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This could indicate a premium valuation in the market, reflective of the company's growth potential and investor confidence.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Meta not only holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, a sign of financial stability, but also has seen 11 analysts revise their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, signaling optimism about the company's profitability. Moreover, the company's cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments, providing further assurance of its financial health.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Meta's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips that can guide investment decisions. With a total of 15 InvestingPro Tips available for Meta, including insights into its earnings multiple and industry standing, investors can utilize the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription for a comprehensive investment analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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