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Factbox-HSBC raises Brent price forecasts on Saudi output cuts

Published 22/09/2023, 12:48
© Reuters. A pump is seen at a gas station in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 11, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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(Adds HSBC (LON:HSBA) forecasts)

(Reuters) - HSBC Global Research on Friday raised its forecast for Brent oil prices in 2023 and 2024, predicting that the market would remain tight on the extension of voluntary output cuts by Saudi Arabia.

The bank hiked its 2024 Brent outlook by $7.5 a barrel.

Record Chinese oil demand should continue to support prices in the near term, the bank said in a note, forecasting the Saudi cuts to remain in place until the second quarter of 2024.

Saudi Arabia and Russia, as part of the OPEC+ producer group, this month extended combined supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels per day to the end of 2023.

Brent futures were up 0.2% at $93.51 a barrel at 1515 GMT on Friday, on renewed global supply concerns from Russia's fuel export ban. [O/R]

The following is a list of the latest brokerage forecasts for 2023 average prices per barrel for Brent and WTI (in $ per barrel):

Brokerage/Agency Brent WTI Date

Revised

2023 2024 2023 2024

HSBC

84.00 82.50 80.00 Sept. 22

80.00

Citi Research 84.00 84.00 -- -- Sept. 18

Deutsche 81.30 82.50 76.20 77.50 June 28

JP Morgan 81.00 83.00 76.00 79.00 June 14

UBS* 95.00 -- 90.00 -- May 17

BofA Global Research 80.00 90.00 75.00 May 8

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) 88.00 99.00 82.00 94.00 April 4

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) -- 85.00 -- -- April 3

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Barclays (LON:BARC) 97.00 -- -- -- April 3

Commerzbank* 90.00 -- March 21

Fitch Solutions 100.00 98.00 Oct. 6

ANZ 104.50 103.40 NA

Standard Chartered (LON:STAN) 91.00 88.00 NA

ABN Amro 76.00 74.00 NA

* indicates end-of-period forecast

# current as of given date, may not indicate date of revision

For a table of crude price forecasts as per Reuters latest monthly poll, see

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