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Cooling Tensions Cause Spate Of Highs, Superdry Suffers Latest Slide, NFP Next

Published 10/01/2020, 09:24
Updated 21/10/2020, 09:15

Despite mounting reports that the Ukrainian plane that crashed in Tehran was downed by Iranian missiles, the markets continued to rise on the assumption that tensions have cooled.

Following the assassination of Qassem Suleimani, last Friday it appeared like we were on the brink of World War Three, sending markets tumbling. Now the Dow Jones is all set to cross 29000 for the first time in its history later this afternoon.

The avoidance of the expected escalation has allowed the Western indices to resume the buoyant start they had initially seen to the New Year, one plumped up by Chinese stimulus and ongoing goodwill regarding the soon-to-be signed trade deal.

The DAX, adding another 35 points, kept above a near 2-year peak of 13500, while the CAC remained close to its 12 year high of 6050 as it rose 0.2%. The FTSE – so often the black sheep – did climb 0.3%, but, at 7620, was still around 50 points shy of the 5-month high it struck on Boxing Day.

With the US-Iran conflict seemingly now on the backburner, this afternoon’s nonfarm jobs report might have the remit to make some waves. Analysts are expecting wage growth of 0.3% against the previous month’s 0.2%, but with a sharp fall in the headline nonfarm figure from 266k to 162k. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, is set to remain steady at 3.5%.

If not quite as busy as Thursday, it was still another bad session for UK retailers. No-one knows what to do at Superdry, not even returning CEO Julian Dunkerton. The fashion stock suffered its latest dramatic plunge following its Christmas results, dropping 20% to a 13-month low of £3.78 as it revealed a 15.8% slide in group revenue. That means it now expects underlying pre-tax profit of between £0 million and £10 million for the full year, against analysts’ previous forecasts of £40.5 million.

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