Japan's Nintendo seen posting bumper profit as fans await pipeline update

Reuters

Published Aug 05, 2020 00:07

By Sam Nussey

TOKYO - Japan's Nintendo Co Ltd (T:7974) on Thursday is expected to post a 160% jump in first-quarter operating profit as its hit Switch console and titles like Animal Crossing: New Horizons look set to extend a decade-high earnings streak.

The escapist island life simulator became a major hit as its delayed release coincided with consumers staying home due to the coronavirus outbreak, boosting the gaming firm's earnings in a year with a thin pipeline for major Switch titles.

In what is normally a lean quarter, Nintendo is seen posting an April-June profit surge at 71 billion yen (512.62 million pounds), according to Refinitiv SmartEstimate, based on the estimates of 12 analysts. That would compare with 27.4 billion yen a year earlier.

Sales of Animal Crossing likely reached 8 million units in the quarter, said Citigroup (NYSE:C) analyst Kota Ezawa, who sees total sales for the title reaching 20 million units.

Momentum for the Kyoto-based gaming firm, whose shares hit a 12 year high in July, is being tempered by worldwide shortages of the hybrid home/portable Switch and portable-only Switch Lite.

The system also lacks forthcoming marquee titles following the surprise release of Paper Mario: The Origami King in July just two months after the title was announced.

"Even if they announce a big first-party game tomorrow, the release is going to be at least two months away," said Serkan Toto, founder of game industry consultancy Kantan Games.

(GRAPHIC - Nintendo Switch's thin games roster: https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dts3oW)

Upcoming titles that Nintendo has flagged, including a sequel to Switch launch title Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild, have no firm release dates.

With critical mass from its Switch install base of over 55 million units, Nintendo is attracting third-party gaming firms such as Electronic Arts Inc (O:EA) which is set to release FIFA 21 Legacy Edition on the system in October.

The Switch dominates Nintendo's earnings. A push into mobile gaming is stuttering with just a single title, Mario Kart Tour, released this year and underperforming expectations.