Insurer Sampo says its Solvency II ratio could fall in 2024-2026

Reuters

Published Mar 06, 2024 11:28

By Marta Frackowiak and Elviira Luoma

(Reuters) - Sampo said its 2024-2026 Solvency II ratio might fall compared to the prior three years, as the Finnish insurer unveiled new medium-term targets ahead of its capital markets day on Wednesday.

The group targets a Solvency II ratio - a measure of insurers' capital strength under European Union rules - of between 150% and 190% over the next three years.

That brings the lower end of the range down from 170% compared to its 2021-2023 target.

It had reported a ratio of 182% for 2023.

Sampo's shares fell 2.8% to 40.33 euros at 1123 GMT. J.P.Morgan said in a note that investors might not "feel comfortable" with a Solvency II ratio of 150% at the bottom of the range.

Citi and J.P.Morgan analysts also pointed to the lack of a share buyback announcement or other comments on timing of excess returns.

Analysts' consensus is expecting about 800 million euros ($870 million) in share buybacks over 2024 and 2025.

Sampo, which mainly operates in the Nordic countries, aims to distribute at least 70% of operating profits as dividends in 2024-2026.

It expects operating earnings per share to grow by more than 7% on average over the same period.

The group said it aims for an improved combined ratio of below 85% annually in 2024-2026. A consensus by Vara Research had forecast a ratio of about 83% for the next two years.

In 2021-2023, Sampo had targeted a combined ratio - a key earnings metric calculated by adding the loss ratio and expense ratio - of below 86%.

A ratio lower than 100 means an insurer earns more in premiums than it pays out in claims.