French airport group ADP beats estimates as traffic nears pre-pandemic levels

Reuters

Published Oct 25, 2023 17:00

Updated Oct 25, 2023 18:55

By Victor Goury-Laffont

(Reuters) -French airport group ADP reported forecast-beating 9-months revenue on Wednesday as traffic returned close to pre-pandemic levels but a senior executive said he did not expect a full recovery in Chinese traffic in 2024.

J.P. Morgan analysts say the French company is best-positioned to benefit from the return of Chinese travellers in 2024 with final travel restrictions lifted.

During the third quarter, Chinese traffic at Paris airports was at 37.3% of 2019 levels.

Philippe Pascal, ADP deputy executive officer for finance, strategy and administration, said on a call he did not expect full recovery in traffic from China in 2024 due to "massive disruptions" in the Chinese tourism industry and inflation.

ADP generated 4.12 billion euros ($4.36 billion) in the nine months to September, against an average analyst estimate of 4.07 billion euros in a company-compiled consensus.

Traffic at group level returned to 97.9% of 2019 levels, before COVID-19-related travel restrictions, over the last nine months, and 91.4% of pre-pandemic levels for the group's Paris-region airports.

ADP expects group traffic to reach 95 to 105% of 2019 levels for the full-year.

The ACI Europe body, which represents the region's airports, says it expects full passenger traffic recovery in 2024.

ADP, which operates Paris' two main airports, has faced a series of headwinds this year including strike-induced flight cancellations and a government plan for a transport sector tax in 2024.

Though it expects to pass on most of the new tax burden to airlines, the group said it would have a negative impact of around 90 million euros on its 2024 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).

"We have to mechanically increase our tariffs 6%", Pascal said, adding this could not be done at once. He declined to specify how much of an increase would be applied in 2024.