Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week Of 13 December 2021
IHS Markit | Dec 10, 2021 11:22
December flash PMIs will be released in a week packed with central bank meetings across the US, UK, eurozone, Japan and more. Other scheduled economic releases include US retail sales, UK inflation and labour market data plus eurozone industrial production. In APAC, China's industrial output and retail sales will be published alongside Japan's Q4 Tankan survey.
Clues as to the impact of the COVID-19 Omicron variant will be sought in the coming week. Hopes that Omicron may be less detrimental to the economy than earlier variants has supported markets in recent sessions, but there remains much uncertainty. While the Omicron variant's developments look set to remain a key market driver in the short-term, the attention is expected to be split with the FOMC meeting. This is particularly so after recent upbeat economic data, with Fed chair Powell's recent hawkish comments shaking markets.
Over in Europe the BoE and ECB meet with no changes to monetary policy expected in the upcoming meetings amid concerns over the Omicron variant, though the BoE in particular may see differing views. This follows the RBA this week, stating that economic recovery in Australia is expected to push through the Omicron episode. UK inflation figures will also be eagerly awaited following November's record PMI survey input cost inflation , with the monthly labour market report also viewed for signs of rising wage pressures.
China's retail sales and industrial production will meanwhile be updated and will come under scrutiny amid growing concerns over slowing growth.
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