Tesla Earnings: 16% Dip Could Be Worth a Punt as Cashflows, Revenues Remain Solid
Investing.com | Jan 24, 2024 09:24
- Spotlight turns to Tesla's earnings earnings today.
- The stock has had a bumpy start to 2024 so far.
- In this piece, we will analyze some key negative and positive factors for the EV maker using InvestingPro's ProTips.
While high-flying tech stocks keep pushing the market to new all-time highs, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) remains yet to see sunny days in 2024. The behemoth EV maker is down 15.8% in the year, underperforming the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 by a hefty margin.
However, as eyes turn to the Austin, Texas-based giant's earnings release today after the market closes, investors are holding onto high hopes that the company's fortunes may be about to change.
The lowering expectations for today's numbers may just serve the company right to fuel a rebound from the all-important $200 dollar technical support.
To understand where the company stands from a fundamental perspective going into the report, we'll take a deep dive into the company's metrics using InvestingPro's powerful ProTips tool for a comprehensive analysis.
ProTips - available only to InvestingPro users - seemingly summarizes the positives and negatives of a company by combing through a sea of data. Designed for both retail investors and pro traders, ProTips avoids calculations (and reduces workload) by translating a company's data into synthetic observations.
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h2 Tesla's Fundamentals Mixed in 2023/h2Tesla's earnings per share is expected to come in at $0.74 while quarterly revenue is expected to be $25.7B today.
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Looking at the estimates on InvestingPro, there is a 45% decrease in EPS and a 12% decrease in revenue forecast. In the last 3 months, 10 analysts have revised their opinion downwards, while 7 analysts have raised their forecast for Tesla's EPS.
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The longer-term trend shows that Tesla has continued to post results in line with EPS estimates, while quarterly revenues remained a mixed bag, coming in below estimates in 2 quarters and above estimates in one quarter.
h2 What Are Tesla’s Strengths and Weaknesses According to ProTips?/h2ProTips metrics on InvestingPro show that Tesla's strengths stand out against its weaknesses at the moment.
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The amount of cash on Tesla's balance sheet is above the debt. Based on the Net Debt/Total Capital ratio, Tesla's value is calculated as -2.6%, which is higher than the average of peer companies.
As seen in the chart above, Tesla trails Apple and Amazon by Net Debt/Total Capitalization ratio.
This positive indicator suggests that Tesla, which has a higher cash-to-debt ratio than its peers, is in strong financial health and may be more resilient to unexpected expenses or deteriorating market conditions.
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On the other hand, ProTips points out that Tesla continues with a high Price/Earnings ratio. This implies that the stock is overvalued relative to its current company earnings. Although this is not decisive on its own, it can be interpreted as a warning for the risk of correction.
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However, historically, this is quite a healthy EPS metric for Tesla, given that the company's PE went well above the triple digits during the 2021 bull market.
In addition to being one of the industry-leading companies, Tesla is currently technically in the oversold zone according to RSI.
The company boasts robust cash flows, sufficient to cover interest expenses. It has maintained profitability over the last 12 months, with optimistic expectations for sustained profitability.
Furthermore, the stock exhibits significant potential for delivering compelling long-term returns.
Source: InvestingPro
h2 Tesla's Negative Factors/h2Alongside the company's elevated P/E ratio, notable weaknesses include a high share price volatility, lackluster performance over the last month, and an elevated EBITDA and EBITDA valuation ratio.
A lofty valuation relative to revenue, and an elevated Price/Book ratio are also unfavorable.
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h2 Bottom Line/h2As a result, according to Tesla's latest financial results and share price, the fair value calculated on InvestingPro is calculated as TSLA share is currently discounted by close to 9% - which is remarkably solid for the company.
The fair value price is calculated at $227.75, while the consensus estimate of 36 analyses is $236.
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Tesla's growth and profitability health are also very good, while cash flow is good, while price momentum is weak compared to other items.
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