FX Majors: EUR/GBP Bouncing Back
Swissquote Ltd | Jan 29, 2018 13:27
EUR/USD sideways price action
EUR/USD is trading mixed around 1.24. The pair lies in a bullish short-term momentum. Hourly support is given at 1.2223 (23/01/2018 low). The technical structure suggests further short-term upside moves.
In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely positive. We favor a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2856 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low).
GBP/USD sideways price action
EUR/USD is trading mixed around 1.24. The pair lies in a bullish short-term momentum. Hourly support is given at 1.2223 (23/01/2018 low). The technical structure suggests further short-term upside moves.
In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely positive. We favor a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2856 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low).
USD/JPY bearish bias
USD/JPY is trading below 109. Hourly resistance is at 109.77 (26/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests further short-term downside moves.
We favour a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 107.32 (08/09/2017 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low).
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USD/CHF downward pressure
USD/CHF is trading mixed. The technical structure indicates that further weakness is likely. Hourly resistance is at 0.9449 (25/01/2018 high). Expected to show further short-term downside move.
In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found at 0.9072 (07/05/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD continued decline
USD/CAD is decreasing. Hourly resistance is given at 1.2520 (17/01/2018 high) while further resistance given at 1.2589 (01/01/2018) is momentarily out of reach. The technical structure indicates that additional weakness is achievable.
In the longer term, the pair is trading between resistance point at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high) and support at 1.2128 (18/06/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head lower. The pairs is trading below 200 DMA.
AUD/USD higher ride continues
AUD/USD's upside pressures keeps growing. Support stands at 0.7957 (23/01/2018 low). The technical structure indicates further short-term upside move.
In the long-term, the trend is turning positive. Key support stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low). A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view (drawing near).
EUR/GBP trading higher to target at 0.88
EUR/GBP is bouncing back after slight decrease on Friday. The pair is approaching resistance at 0.8846 (19/01/2018 high). Expected to show further short-term strength.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests an upside momentum. The pair is trading below the range of its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level).
EUR/CHF decline confirmed
EUR/CHF is trading slightly higher. Hourly support at 1.1607 (18/12/2017 low) is now broken. Expected to show further short-term downside moves.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance is given at 1.20 (level before the unpeg). Yet, the ECB's slowing QE program is likely to cause buying pressures on the euro, which should weigh in favour of the EUR/CHF. Support can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).
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