Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Pound soars after UK says Brexit deal text is agreed

Published 13/11/2018, 17:43
Updated 13/11/2018, 18:49
© Reuters. Wads of British Pound Sterling banknotes are stacked in piles at the Money Service Austria company's headquarters in Vienna

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON (Reuters) - Sterling hit a 7-month high versus the euro and rocketed beyond $1.30 on Tuesday after the United Kingdom and European Union agreed on the text for a Brexit divorce deal.

Prime Minister Theresa May will present the draft withdrawal agreement to her senior ministers on Wednesday for discussion and then decide on the next steps, her office said in a statement that confirmed several British media reports.

The news was cheered by investors hoping May can convince her ministers to back the draft agreement if there is to be enough time for a proposed Brexit summit of EU leaders in late November to approve it.

Brussels diplomatic sources had said they feared any delay in agreeing the text would increase the chances of rejection by May's ministers or the British parliament.

"While there are still numerous hurdles ahead, sign-off on Wednesday could be a hugely important step towards getting a deal over the line before Christmas and avoiding a disastrous no deal scenario," said Craig Erlam, market analyst at OANDA.

After the pound rose throughout Tuesday on growing hopes of a breakthrough, it surged in late European trading on British media reports that the withdrawal treaty text was provisionally agreed.

It shot up 0.9 percent to 86.56 pence (EURGBP=D3) versus the euro, its strongest level since mid-April, with more than half the gain following the reports.

Sterling also jumped as high as $1.3047 , up more than 1.4 percent on the day. That put the pound on course for its second-biggest daily rise since January.

Analysts cautioned that May still had to win over many members of her party as well as the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party, which props up her minority government.

"The devil will be in the detail of the Irish border issue. Everything hangs on that and ultimately whether Theresa May can get this past Parliament," said Aberdeen Standard Investments Political Economist Stephanie Kelly.

"She still has to convince them and the rest of Parliament and that's not a foregone conclusion by any means."

Volatility in the pound has surged as investors position themselves in a crunch week for the Brexit negotiations.

Investors' expectations for price swings in the pound versus the dollar over the next one and three months

The British currency had tumbled on Monday on fears that talks were deadlocked less than five months before the official departure date of March 29, 2019.

© Reuters. Wads of British Pound Sterling banknotes are stacked in piles at the Money Service Austria company's headquarters in Vienna

Separately on Tuesday, official data showed British workers' underlying pay rose at the fastest pace in nearly a decade in the three months to the end of September. The jobless rate unexpectedly picked up.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.