sentiment index: speculators stay bearish on pound sentiment index: speculators stay bearish on pound  | Aug 15, 2016 10:08 sentiment index shows that speculators stayed bearish on GBP last week - The weekly sentiment index published on Monday revealed that speculators stayed bearish on the British pound last week, as they looked ahead to more monetary stimulus from the Bank of England.

According to the report, 38.2% of investors were long GBP/USD in the week ended July 29, improving from 33.9% a week earlier.

The Bank of England cut interest rates to a record-low and launched fresh easing measures earlier this month in a bid to buffer the economy from a downturn following the Brexit vote.

Economic activity in the U.K. is expected to slow down sharply in the second half of the year as businesses face uncertainty over the country’s future direction in wake of the U.K.'s vote to exit the European Union, putting more pressure on policymakers to add to stimulus.

Meanwhile, 28.8% of investors held long positions in EUR/USD as of last week, compared to 30.8% in the preceding week.

Amongst the safe-haven currencies, 41.4% of market participants held long positions in USD/JPY, little changed from 41.2% in the previous week, while 50.0% of investors were long USD/CHF, up from 48.5%.

In the commodity-linked currencies space, 46.9% were long USD/CAD, rising from 41.3% a week earlier, 45.0% held long positions in AUD/USD, compared to 43.5% in the preceding week, while 36.9% were long NZD/USD, falling slightly from 37.1% a week earlier.

The report also showed that 57.5% of market participants held long positions in gold futures as of last week, compared to 60.1% in the preceding week.

Elsewhere, 49.2% of investors were long the S&P 500, improving from 42.8% a week earlier.

A reading between 50%-70% is bullish for the instrument, a reading between 30% and 50% is bearish, a reading above 70% indicates overbought conditions and a reading below 30% indicates oversold conditions.

The series of indexes is developed in-house. Each index measures overall exposure to major currency pairs, commodities and indexes, using data from futures exchanges and OTC providers on all long and short open positions.

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