Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

UK yield curve flattest since Brexit vote on growth fears

Published 11/02/2019, 12:47
Updated 11/02/2019, 12:50
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks past the Bank of England in the City of London

LONDON (Reuters) - The difference in yields between short and longer-dated British government bonds fell on Monday to its narrowest since shortly after the 2016 Brexit referendum on concerns about the weakening growth outlook.

A flatter yield curve is often seen as a signal markets expect fewer central bank interest rate rises in future.

The yield premium that 10-year British government bonds offer over two years sank to 43.4 basis points at 0820 GMT.

This was its lowest during main trading hours since the end of August 2016, not long after the Bank of England launched a programme of purchases of medium- and long-dated gilts to boost the economy following the June 2016 Brexit referendum.

At 1210 GMT the spread stood at 44.2 basis points, about half a basis point flatter than late on Friday.

Earlier, official data showed Britain's economy slowed sharply in late 2018 and full-year growth was its slowest in six years as Brexit worries compounded the drag from a weaker global economy.

Paul Dales, an economist with consultancy Capital Economics, said British exports will probably continue to slow this year and next as a result of weaker global demand, even before taking into account the possibility of a no-deal Brexit shock.

"If there's a silver lining from the mounting signs that the uncertainty caused by Brexit is holding back GDP growth, it's that the economy could enjoy a decent rebound if a Brexit deal is agreed," he said in a note to clients.

The yield curves of other big, rich economies have also flattened recently on concerns about the slowdown in growth.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Last week, the Bank of England said Britain's economy faced its weakest growth in a decade in 2019, but interest rates would eventually resume their rise if a Brexit divorce deal is done.

British 10-year government bond yields fell to their lowest level since May 2018 last week in response to the BoE's new projections, but were up about 2 basis points on Monday at 1.18 percent.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.