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EUR/NZD Ponders Range Breakout

Published 19/12/2019, 09:33
Updated 14/12/2017, 10:25
EUR/NZD 3 Month Performance

In the 6th December, EUR/NZD tested the March trendline and began to rebound. Given the general lack of pullbacks since the decline from 1.7700, it was plausible to expect a larger rebound than the one that occurred. Yet 9 sessions later, its probing the said trendline once more and could be building up for a break lower.

There’s a clear range between 1.6808 and 1.7003 which, once broken, could mark its next significant move. Yet given the more volatile candles within this range have been bearish, and the prior move was also a downtrend, a downside break is currently favoured. Furthermore, the 20-day eMA and monthly S1 are also capping as resistance. (The S2 has been removed as price action is currently ignoring it, therefor is of no significance to the analysis).

EUR/NZD Daily Chart

  • Bias remains bearish below the 1.7003 high.
  • A break below 1.6808 (or 1.6000 for extra confirmation) assume the bearish breakout is underway. Another approach for bears to consider is fading into low volatile moves below 1.0700, in anticipation of an eventual breakdown.
  • The lows around 1.6530 make a viable target although the monthly S3 pivot around 1.6660 could also be considered (take note, the pivot levels will change in January).
  • A clear break above 1.7003 invalidates the near-term bearish bias
  • Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient.

    Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warrant that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does the author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

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