Corporate Bonds And Gold Rise As ECB Starts Buying

Corporate Bonds And Gold Rise As ECB Starts Buying

CMC Markets  | Jun 09, 2016 06:11

UK and Europe

The World Bank cutting its global growth forecast and data showing another monthly slide in Chinese exports put markets slightly on the defensive yesterday. The FTSE 100 spent the day little-changed, boosted by well-received quarterly sales from Sainsbury's (LON:SBRY). Losses were heavier in equity benchmarks on the continent where banks were seeing some of the biggest declines.

The market’s focus was very much on the European corporate bond market, where the ECB embarked on its first day of purchases. The ECB bought bonds issued by European companies including Telecom Italia (MI:TLIT), Anheuser-Busch (LON:0O1Z), Siemens AG (DE:SIEGn) and Renault (PA:RENA). Before the purchases even began, investment-grade European corporate bond yields averaged a lowly 1%.

The ECB, as a large price-insensitive buyer, should put a floor under prices and drive bond yields down further. However, if the experience of the ECB’s other asset purchase programs is anything to go by, the duration of the price rise may only be a matter of weeks.

The World Bank slashed its growth estimate to 2.4% for this year, down from 2.9%. It expects oil-exporting developing nations to be impaired by lower energy prices whilst growth in the US and the UK is expected to increase at a modest 2%.

The World Bank’s forecast is at odds with stock market performance. Emerging markets have seen the biggest percentage return since global stocks bottomed this year. The MSCI Emerging Markets index is up 22% from its 52-week low reached in January. World Bank forecasts can dampen sentiment short-term but economic growth in developing nations is not the major determinant of stock market returns right now, its monetary policy.

Shares of Sainsbury’s leaped on the open yesterday, before paring gains after the supermarket reported quarterly sales results. Like-for-like sales fell 0.8% in the three months to June 4, less than the fall implied by recent data from Kantar. The confident tone struck by chief exec Mike Coupe has investors on board with a strategy of lower regular pricing, less promotions and the deal to buy Argos.


US stocks opened higher on Wednesday with the S&P 500 sitting near 10-month highs. A rise in oil prices and corporate bond-buying from the ECB has given US investors the confidence to look through weak China data and World Bank forecasts.


A risk-off tone saw the Japanese yen and Swiss franc as top risers in FX markets with the rise in gold, silver and oil aiding gains in commodity-backed currencies including the Aussie and Canadian dollar.

The British pound rose on Wednesday after data showed much stronger than expected UK industrial and manufacturing production in April. UK manufacturing output rose by 2.3% against expectations of no change. The much vaunted Brexit slowdown is looking more like a Brexceleration.

US job openings rose to 5.788m in April from 5.67m according to JOLTS data but had minimal impact on the US dollar.


Commodities were higher across the board on Wednesday with silver rising as much as 4%. The average yield on investment-grade European company debt at a record low of 1% is good for non-yielding assets like precious metals.

Oil prices rose on Tuesday with DOE and API data in agreement of a weekly draw of 3.23 and 3.56m barrels respectively.

Gold has jumped nearly $30 per oz from Tuesday’s low after an attempt to drive the metal lower failed gain any traction.

DISCLAIMER: CMC Markets is an execution only provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only, and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.

No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Original post

CMC Markets

Latest comments

Add a Comment
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Mark Coffie
Mark Coffie

Insightful review  ... (Read More)

Mar 15, 2018 19:05 GMT· Reply
Write a reply...
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

English (USA) English (India) English (Canada) English (Australia) English (South Africa) English (Philippines) English (Nigeria) Deutsch Español (España) Español (México) Français Italiano Nederlands Português (Portugal) Polski Português (Brasil) Русский Türkçe ‏العربية‏ Ελληνικά Svenska Suomi עברית 日本語 한국어 简体中文 繁體中文 Bahasa Indonesia Bahasa Melayu ไทย Tiếng Việt हिंदी
Sign out
Are you sure you want to sign out?
Saving Changes


Download the App

Get free real time quotes, charts and alerts on stocks, indices, currencies, commodities and bonds. Get free top of the line technical analysis/predictors. is better on the App!

More content, faster quotes and charts, and a smoother experience is available only on the App.