August Opens With Bank Of England & US Nonfarm

August Opens With Bank Of England & US Nonfarm

Spreadex  | Aug 02, 2020 06:55

The latter half of the week is where the juicy stuff is at, including August’s Bank of England meeting and the latest nonfarm number out of the United States.

US
A new month means only one thing – it’s time for a fresh nonfarm jobs report. The last couple of months have seen the US economy try and claw back some of the jobs lost in April, with 2.5 million surprisingly created in May, and 4.8 million in June. However, July has been a rough one in the US, with multiple states having to re-enter various forms of lockdown.

How will that come to impact July’s nonfarm reading? Will jobs still have been created, or are investors facing another negative number?

The state of the unemployment rate, which last time out was 11.1%, and the wage growth, which fell by 1.2% in June, will also be worth a watch.

Beyond Friday’s main event, there are the manufacturing PMIs on Monday, factory orders on Tuesday, the services PMIs and ADP nonfarm data on Wednesday and the usual dreaded jobless claims reading on Thursday.

Elsewhere, things seem to have gone quiet on the US-China front, though another flare-up is a persistent threat, while Donald Trump has also been tweeting about delaying November’s election, so there is also that to worry about.

All this, as well as the now permanent hum of covid-10 anxiety.

UK
Like the ECB and Federal Reserve, the Bank of England may well still be in wait and see mode during its August meeting on Thursday, especially since in terms of interest rates the only direction is negative, something governor Andrew Bailey is reticent to do.

Beyond the latest BoE action, there is July’s manufacturing PMI on Monday, the services PMI on Tuesday, construction PMI on Thursday and Halifax HPI on Friday.

As for the UK’s corporate calendar, Diageo (LON:DGE) and Direct Line (LON:DLGD) reports on Tuesday; PageGroup (LON:PAGE) on Wednesday; Mondi (LON:MNDI), Evraz (LON:EVRE), Hammerson (LON:HMSO) and Serco (LON:SRP) on Thursday; Hargreaves Lansdown (LON:HRGV) (LON:HRGV), Hikma Pharmaceuticals (LON:HIK) and Rightmove (LON:RMV) on Friday.

Eurozone
The Eurozone is fairly flush with data this week, from the manufacturing PMIs on Monday to the services PMIs on Wednesday, and the German factory orders and Italian industrial production numbers on Thursday. Friday then wraps things up with the German and French industrial production and trade balance readings.

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